Thursday, September 3, 2020

The Hours Film Review Essays

The Hours Film Review Essays The Hours Film Review Essay The Hours Film Review Essay Article Topic: Eva Luna Mrs Dalloway Wherever we go, we continually get ourselves angry and disappointed with film adjustments that never appear to serve us equity The book is simply sooooooo much better!. Yet, is it truly reasonable for engrave this impact on all film adjustments of much-adored books? The appropriate response is NO. From the executive of Billy Elliot, Stephen Daldry and his capable group on-and-off camera will demonstrate you wrong.It is madly hard for the vast majority of us, to try and start to envision the horrendous agony got from the individuals who bear tremendous melancholy or the individuals who experience the ill effects of some type of dysfunctional behavior. They are secured up a prison that looks like their psyche and can't break free. The Hours embodies this passionate pressure suffered by ladies across various periods to absolute perfection.Based on the Pulitzer Prize-winning novel composed by Michael Cunningham, The Hours delineates the lives of three ladies in three ages alongside the c urved battles they experience detained in their miserable spirits. Australian entertainer Nicole Kidman (Moulin Rouge, Rabbit Hole), catches the job of Virginia Woolf in 1925, dealing with Mrs. Dalloway (a continuous flow novel) about the lady of society, whose fake nature of flawlessness veils her inward disturbance. Julianne Moore (The End of An Affair) depicts cliché American housewife, Laura Brown living in 1951 American the suburbs a lady who feels constrained to keep up her dedication towards her child and spouse (John C. Reilly). What may appear as though a contentful heart and lively face may potentially be something different underneath the surface. Widely praised entertainer, Meryl Streep (Adaptation, Sophies Choice) as Clarissa Vaughan in 2001, dismisses her accomplice for the part in her life that she is hesitant to close, whom is imparted to AIDS victim, Richard Brown played by Ed Harris.Kidman stands taller than the rest, conveying an unprecedented Oscar-commendable e xecution of astounding mental fortitude, uncovering the damaging war between her scholarly brain and the disorder spinning around her own reality. Each motion and each outward appearance persuades the crowd that this character was customized particularly for her. Streep mirrors this degree of execution and as usual, handles her job cautiously delivering a convincing exhibition accordingly. Her switch between supreme lunacy to a merry lady is estimated flawlessly. In any case, there is consistently one that allows the group to team. Moores way to deal with the mind boggling character of Laura Brown shows that she is simply one more beautiful woman in an entirely dress. The repetitive void face is a nap fest that obstructs the crowd from entering her perspective. Last however surely not least, it's anything but an unexpected that the most youthful individual from the cast, youthful and charming Ritchie Brown played by Jack Rovello, radiantly illuminates the screen, making us aww over and over, while taking our powerless hearts with his honestly legit words, and honest gaze. Cuuute.Perhaps one of the most important scenes from the film is the initial grouping, which quickly causes to notice Virginia Woolfs irreversible choice, interweaved with a perfectly composed voiceover of a note dedicated her significant other that practices our psyches in anticipation of the approaching influx of feelings. The three distressed ladies and their lives are painstakingly woven together into a liquid bit of aesthetic understanding. However, at long last every life must proceed, regardless of how dull it might be. Strains crescendo. Fears emerge. The once-grave disposition is at long last elevated and lit up when a progression of crisp, sprouting blossoms are shot to finish the succession with an astounding finish.The genuinely determined intensity of the subjects included in The Hours consequently select the focused on age gathering to develop crowds, as the multi-layered plot i s potentially too thick to even think about digesting for more youthful crowds. A specific interest with mortality is investigated by the female trio, who are expressly delicate, having an away from of the rotating scene. Consistent assessments are made by every one of the primary characters, scrutinizing their monotonic ways of life. The basic through-line can be recognized between the victims.David Hares breathtakingly built screenplay for the film remains dedicated to Cunninghams tale and the gave fans that are joined to his work. Rabbit faced sure challenges, to move toward his obligation with development. The content created isn't hesitant to regard its crowd as though they were learned masters. The screenplay effectively imparts the lesson of the story, that there is an endless variety of encounters over the span of ones life, where no two days are actually same.The faultless costuming, cinematographic and melodic parts of The Hours conceal the baffling gaps in the movies plot . Outfit architect Ann Roth, made a striking showing in deciphering the characters of the characters through design [which is fundamental in numerous ways], just as painting of periods in which every scene is set in. Kidman sports a straightforward yet successful prosthetic nose, which permits the crowd to see an unrecognizable entertainer, making her job substantially more reasonable. Seamus McGarveys masterfully lovely cinematography, comprising of waiting shots on the profoundly, beset appearances of the three driving ladies, is most likely perceived as the movies noticeable instrument.An perfect film is introduced because of his dexterous work. Philip Glass wonderfully made score is one mystery and ground-breaking weapon, which effectively goes with the story, setting a scope of mind-sets and communicating environments such that exchange is infrequently incapable to do as such. The melodic harmonies delivered by a captivating blend of piano and strings are an imperative part of the film, building up and building up the characters by spilling their feelings out. This is to some degree uncommon in a common Hollywood film. It is really the immaculately adjusted completing touch to the brilliant creation.Every single inch of detail and part of the film from the heart-wrenchingly persuading acting performed by most of the cast, to the astonishing screenplay and the eerie score is assaulted with insight, earnestness and definitively exact estimates which at last delivered a unique and amazing perfect work of art that is The Hours. It abandons any uncertainty whatsoever, that the film completely merits its showering recognition and grants. The Hours is an unmistakable must-see film of the year.

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Kiki Smiths Biography and Works

Kiki Smith was destined to Tony Smith an American Sculptor in 1954 in Nuremberg, Germany. She is an American conceived in Germany. Quite a bit of her youth years, Kiki spend helping her dad in his work. She got formal instruction. She didn't adore workmanship at her young age since all her youth was spent working for her father.Advertising We will compose a custom research paper test on Kiki Smith’s Biography and Works explicitly for you for just $16.05 $11/page Learn More She didn't make the most of her adolescence as other youngsters did. At the point when other youngsters went for no particular reason exercises like outdoors they never had the chance, their work was isolating twigs for her dad and helping him in his work. She didn't care for what he father did and his appearance as a result of how youngsters ridiculed his facial hair and possessing a yards until having a whiskers got in vogue. Her work includes utilizing stone carvers, compositions and drawings in narrating . The majority of her work of art particularly in her initial a very long time in her vocation spun around the subject of death. Until having a facial hair got trendy. Kiki was destined to a catholic family. She accepts that her childhood assisted with molding her future vocation as a craftsman. She contrasts Catholics and workmanship, in that, the Catholic confidence makes an association between the profound world and the physical world that resembles craftsmanship, the Catholic confidence brings out what inside is. She likewise draws out the association among craftsmanship and the catholic that both are types of narrating. Kiki’s work of art utilizes the utilization of artists, artworks and drawings to pass out her message. She utilizes the iconography of fantasies and story in her work, she acquires from the western iconography as of now replenish nor laden with significance. The visual imagery of minimal Red Riding Hood, the Evil Witch, the shouting banshee, trigger a whi rlwind of affiliations. Smith breaks this exchange, notwithstanding, by adding unforeseen storylines into the customary stories (Close 170). She has an energy for works of art and figures she clarifies this is so in light of the fact that with artistic creations and models, you can overhaul them until you bring out what you need. To her, this is an enthusiasm and she gives the best (Richard 251). Kiki Smith is progressively inspired by her own reality. Her work includes a greater amount of mentioning objective facts then in gratefulness she gives a story. It is a greater amount of perception than individual connection. It is about her own reality and how it identifies with others. Kiki says, â€Å"The most significant thing for me is taking a gander at objects† (Richard 251). She gets motivation by watching things. She affirms that to her, it is difficult to peruse that she utilizes perception; even in her school days, she thought that it was hard to peruse so what she realiz es best is focusing on things or in her words, â€Å"I tune in to things, or I tune in to what individuals say† (Seaman 718).Advertising Looking for examine paper on workmanship? We should check whether we can support you! Get your first paper with 15% OFF Learn More Her works in the start of her vocation for the most part were identified with death. She would ask why individuals kick the bucket and on the off chance that it was fit for men to bite the dust. This emerged after her father’s demise. Her work depended on how she could endure and shield herself from death. She ponders one attempting to secure him/herself. In her room, she had a skull and had an image of Charlie Manson. She would address the skull and state that Charlie will never get her. This is the amount she dreaded demise. She was consistently terrified of death and continued reasoning that somebody would bite the dust in their structure. She affirms that something abnormal used to occur in that buildi ng and the second she entered, nobody passed on yet they could get admonitions from the local group of fire-fighters and that they expected to clean the house or, in all likelihood an awful thing would occur there (Yablonsky 134). When she had the telephone ring, dread would envelop her and she dislike returning home since she thought somebody had passed on. In her adolescence, she generally figured demise would strike constantly. This impacts the beginning of her vocation in fine art where, as indicated by her, fine art at first centered around death. Never did she comprehend why individuals passed on until she at long last acknowledged that it was alright for individuals to bite the dust. She saw demise as peculiar as a kid. She scarcely has confidence in things she has not seen in light of the fact that her inspiration is in observing and very little in hearing. She accepts that it is a great idea to be attentive for you to become more acquainted with a ton. To her, when you see something, you can decipher it in different structures (Drake 287). She is a major aficionado of Virgin Mary. This is on the grounds that she was raised as a catholic. She has made numerous fine arts as to the virgin. Her dad used to advise her that â€Å"it was Irish catholic to be morbid† (Drake 287). The vast majority of Kiki’s work acquires from Julia Kristeva particularly her convictions of the â€Å"abject† and â€Å"horror† in her stories about AIDS. The two specialists are women's activists and have an incredible enthusiasm for sexual issues and ladies portrayal. Crafted by the two specialists in their fine art makes the image of woman's rights that is ladylike feelings and brain research. Works Cited Close, Chuck. Kiki Smith. Time 167.19 (2006): 170. Print.Advertising We will compose a custom research paper test on Kiki Smith’s Biography and Works explicitly for you for just $16.05 $11/page Learn More Drake, Cathryn. Kiki Smith. Artforum u niversal 44.4(2005): 287. Print. Richard, Frances. Kiki Smith. Artforum global 48.9(2010): 251. Print. Sailor, Donna. Kiki Smith. The Booklist 95.8 (1998): 718. Print. Yablonsky, Linda. Kiki Smith. Artforum worldwide 44.1(2005): 134. Print. This exploration paper on Kiki Smith’s Biography and Works was composed and put together by client Gunnar Q. to help you with your own examinations. You are allowed to utilize it for research and reference purposes so as to compose your own paper; be that as it may, you should refer to it as needs be. You can give your paper here.

Friday, August 21, 2020

Bill Cosby legal allegations and laws that apply to and affect this Term Paper

Bill Cosby legitimate charges and laws that apply to and influence this circumstance - Term Paper Example A few ladies have blamed Bill Cosby for explicitly ambushing them by utilization of medications. The rundown has developed to13 offended parties with the most recent being the two offended parties met in Philadelphia and People magazines. The ladies that have professed to be explicitly attacked by Cosby have become more than 20 in number. The privilege to protection holds that no individual should encounter not legitimate obstruction in his life. This privilege ensures one’s protection, correspondence, home, notoriety, and respect. The law, along these lines, ought to guarantee the insurance against such assaults or impedances. Bill Cosby has put forth attempts to see that his entitlement to security is ensured (Noorani 802). Bill Cosby has utilized his privilege of articulation to secure his protection in the instances of rape. He has utilized this option to respond to the accusers’ claims by demonstrating that they are liars. Bill Cosby’s act has meant to pick up and control the compassion of people in general and legal procedure. He has painted the informers as people who have concealed plans of stigmatizing him. This is by ruining his notoriety and respect that he has worked for long to pick up. His demonstration of doing this in the media is a method that he uses to intensify his voice (Scocca). Bill Cosby has likewise utilized his privilege of self-preservation to secure his protection in the rape allegation cases. For instance, his lawyers’ call for excusal of the slander cases documented by the three ladies is a demonstration of security insurance. The legal advisors contend the Cosby marking the ladies liars doesn't meet the slander edge. Bill’s proclamations were of self-protection, which is a benefit that ought to be given to all the denounced. In opposite, it is in Cosby’s rights to make self-protection expressions. As indicated by his attorneys, the slander guarantee on the demonstration of self-protection will be a lot of twofold gauges. Hobson’s Choice backings the privilege of openly denying the

Sunday, June 7, 2020

Arbitrage Pricing Theory And Uk Stock Exchange Finance Essay - Free Essay Example

To estimate empirically the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) model we focus our attention to the UKs stock exchange market. Our study employs monthly time series data spanning the period 2000:9 to 2010:9 (121 observations). The sample of our analysis is dictated solely by the demands of the coursework. The variables involved are: the closing share prices for 25 UK companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE 100 stock index, the UK Libor as proxy for the short-run risk-free rate, the 20-year government bond yield as proxy for the long-run risk-free rate, the exchange rate series between the British Pound and the US Dollar and finally the Brent crude oil prices.  [1]  The abbreviated notation of the above variables is as follows: Sharei = Si with i= 1 to 25 FTSE 100 stock index = indext UK Libor= free_s_ratet 20-year government bond yield = free_l_ratet Exchange rate series = fxt Brent crude oil prices = brentt Given the availability of the Si series it is trivial to calculate the return series for each of the 25 selected shares (r_ Si) by taking the first logarithmic differences of the share prices (growth rate). To do so in E-views the relevant command is the one described below: For !i=1 to 25 series r_S!i = dlog(S!i) Next To constr uct the equally weighed portfolio return series (portfoliot) we merely estimate the average return of the 25 share returns for each time period of the sample. The commands applied are described as follows: series sum_stock_returns = r_S1+ r_S2+ r_S3+ r_s4+ r_S5+ r_S6+ r_S7+ r_S8+ r_S9+r_S10+r_S11 +r_S12+ r_S13+ r_S14+ r_S15+ r_S16+ r_S17+ r_S18+ r_S19+ r_S20+ r_S21+ r_s22+ r_S23+ r_S24+ r_S25 series portofolio = sum_stock_returns / 25 Figure 1 below presents the five main variables used in this study as well as the equally weighed portfolio return series constructed by the returns of the 25 involved shares. Figure 1. The variables of the study Figure 1. The variables of the study (continued) II. Empirical Results Question 1 i) The term spread is defined as the difference of the short-run and the long-run free interest rates. The relevant command is: series term_spread = free_l_rate free_s_rate, and the finally constructed series is illustrated in Figure 2. The mid-period of the sample (2003-2007) is characterized by healthy economic activity and therefore the term-spread decreased, while during the crisis (2008-2010) the short term rate is almost zero and as a result the term spread increased. Figure 2. The term-spread series ii) Figure 3 presents the percentage changes for the three basic factors of the model. The percentage change transformation for the term-spread series, the exchange rate series and the Brent oil prices is accomplished through the following three E-views commands: series g_term_spread = ( term_spread term_spread(-1) ) / term_spread(-1) series g_fx = ( fx fx(-1) ) / fx(-1) series g_brent = ( brent brent(-1) ) / brent(-1) Figure 3. Percentage changes for the th ree basic factors of the APT model In general, the three variables show similar characteristics with respect to their evolution through the observed sample period. In particular, the following distinctive characteristics are realized a) All the variables appear to fluctuate around a constant mean value, which in every case is approximately equal to zero, b) All the variables seem to have variance that remains fairly constant within the sample, but this is not the case for the exchange rate which becomes volatile after 2008, and the term-spread which has a very low volatility after 2009 (the short-term risk free rate is zero) c) All the variables receive extreme values approximately at the same period, which is located during the last quarter of 2008, d) Only the percentage change of the term-spread appears to present two additional extreme values one in the beginning of the sample and one just before the middle point of the sample. What can be inferred from the above is that all the variables show clearly a stationary behaviour. This stationarity can be verified by implementing relevant stationarity tests. By applying the Augmented Dickey Fuller test (ADF) we have realized that the three examined variables are undoubtedly stationary.  [2] iii) Figure 4 presents the portfolio excess returns over the short-run risk free proxy (exs_r_portofolio) along with a set of descriptive statistics.  [3]  The E-views command to construct the portfolio excess returns is presented beneath: series exs_r_portofolio = portofolio (free_s_rate/100) Figure 4. Portfolio excess returns and the associated descriptive statistics Similarly, figure 5 presents the market excess returns over the short-run risk free proxy (exs_r_index) along with a set of descriptive statistics (see footnote 3). The E-views command to construct initially the market returns and afterwards the market excess returns are presented below: series r_index = dlog(index) series exs_r_inde x = r_index (free_s_rate/100) Figure 5. Market excess returns and the associated descriptive statistics Before we comment on the distributional properties of these two variables, it is worth to mention that both variables appear to be stationary with constant mean and constant variance.  [4]  Again the applied ADF tests revealed that indeed both variables are clearly stationary.  [5]  What we know for the case of the symmetric distributions is that the mean and the median statistics are equal between them. Differences between these two measures occur with skewed distributions. In our case, the portfolio excess returns series appear to have almost identical values for the mean and the median statistics, that is -0.036483 and -0.036315 respectively, which is an indication for a symmetric behaviour. The maximum value is 0.14, the minimum value is -0.24 and finally the standard deviation receive the value of 0.057. Skewness measures the distributions asymmetry around t he mean. A symmetric distribution like the normal has skewness equal to 0, while positive skewness means that the distribution has a long right tail and negative skewness implies that the distribution has a long left tail. The value of -0.300 for the skewness implies that the distribution of the portfolio excess returns presents a slightly long left tail, which is a result of the negative returns during the crisis. Kurtosis measures the fatness of the distribution of the series. The kurtosis of the normal distribution is 3, while in cases where the kurtosis exceeds the said value, the distribution is leptokurtic relative to the normal; and if the kurtosis is less than 3, the distribution is platykurtic relative to the normal. The value of 4.67 for the Kurtosis implies that the distribution of the portfolio excess returns series is pretty leptokurtic. This is common for stock returns. Finally, we tested for normality by making use of the Jarque-Bera statistic. The null hypothesis in the test is that the distribution is normal. The estimated Jarque-Bera statistic along with the associated p-value, for the portfolio excess returns series, are 15.76 and 0.000, respectively. Consequently, judging by the reported p-value we clearly reject the null hypothesis of normality. Therefore, the portfolio excess returns series is not distributed normally. Provided that the Anderson-Darling normality test presents better small sample properties than the Jarque-Bera test, we implemented it also. The Anderson-Darling normality test has the same null hypothesis as the Jarque-Bera test. The Anderson-Darling test statistic receives the value of 24.13 with p-value 0.000, and as a result we reject the null hypothesis of normality. Overall, both tests affirm that the portfolio excess returns series is not distributed as a normal variable. The non-normality is a characteristic of small samples and in our case we only had 121 observations. If the sample size increases the distribution will be closer to the normal distribution. Furthermore, it is a well known fact that asset returns are not normally distributed. Turning now to the market excess returns series, we may say that the mean and the median of the series are quite similar, that is -0.042 and -0.039 respectively, indicating symmetric behaviour. The maximum value is 0.07, the minimum value of the series is -0.20 and finally the standard deviation receive the value of 0.05. The skewness is -0.31 and kurtosis is 3.66, indicating quite normal behaviour given that these two values are quite close to the benchmark values of the normal distribution (0 and 3, respectively). The p-value of the estimated Jarque-Bera statistic is 0.12, indicating that we fail to reject the null hypothesis of normality at the conventional 0.05 level of significance. Finally, the p-value of the estimated Anderson-Darling statistic is 0.06, indicating again that we fail to reject the null hypothesis of normality at the conventional 0 .05 level of significance. In general the market excess returns appear to distribute like a normal variable. What has been revealed from the above analysis is that a) both series are stationary, b) the market excess return series is less volatile than the portfolio excess returns series and c) the market excess return series is distributed normally, while this not true for the portfolio market excess return series. Question 2 In this section we estimate the APT model having as a dependent variable the excess portfolio returns and as independent variables 1) the excess market returns 2) the percentage change of the term spread 3) the percentage change of the exchange rate series and finally 4) the percentage change of the Brent crude oil prices. The specification of the above described APT model is provided by equation (1): (1) where, is the excess portfolio returns series at time t , c is the constant term, is the excess market returns series at time t, is the percentage change of the term spread at time t, is the percentage change of the exchange rate series at time t, is the percentage change of the Brent crude oil prices at time t, are parameters to be estimated and finally, is the error term assuming the usual properties. Parameter estimates for equation (1), by means of the OLS estimation technique, along with their associated standard errors, t-statistics and p-values, are analytically il lustrated in Table 1. The E-views command for the estimation of the above mentioned model is as follows: equation model1.ls exs_r_portofolio c exs_r_index g_term_spread g_fx g_brent Table 1. Estimation output for equation 1 Variable Coefficient Std. error t-Statistic p-value constant 0.008164 0.002893 2.822046 0.0056 [ Rm-Rf ]t 1.047768 0.043587 24.03840 0.0000 GTSt 0.001993 0.003167 0.629342 0.5304 GFXt 0.039145 0.086038 0.454976 0.6500 GBPt 0.005340 0.024816 0.215195 0.8300 Regression Diagnostic Statistics R-squared 0.844807 Mean dependent var -0.036483 Adjusted R-squared 0.839409 S.D. dependent var 0.057761 S.E. of regression 0.023147 Akaike info Criterion -4.653130 Log likelihood 284.1878 Schwarz criterion -4.536984 F-statistic 156.5033 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.605962 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Durbin-Watson stat. 1.927105 White hetero. Test 0.926993 LM test ser. cor. (2 lags) 0.203657 Whites test p-value 0.532800 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.816000 Anderson-Darling nor. test 0.858200 LM test ser. cor. (8 lags) 0.521658 Anderson-Darling p-value 0.440800 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.837900 In general, the estimated sign for every single parameter is theoretically meaningful, only two of the parameters appear to be statistically significant at the conventional level of 0.05 and finally, the model seems to fit the data pretty well. In more detail and in relation to the expected signs we stress the following: the excess return of a well diversified portfolio is expected to experience similar co-movements with the excess returns of the market. Therefore, the expected sign is positive as it happens in our case. As it is well known, the term spread variable is widely used by economists and the practitioners in order to predict the real economic activity. Given that the stock market generally follows real economic activity, then it comes that the expected sign for the term-spread variable would be positive. The estimated sign in our model for the term spread variable is also positive. For the exchange rate variable we know that a company may be affected by the changes in the exchange rates directly if its orientation has to do with the foreign trade or indirectly if its inputs or outputs are affected by the exchange rate. In the literature there is no consensus with respect to the expected sign. Some studies have shown that devaluation of the currency has a strong positive effect in the long-run for the stock prices and a negative effect in the short-run. In general, we have no reasons to expect a particular sign for the exchange rate variable. Our results suggest the effect of the exchange rate changes is positive. Finally, we know how crucial the price of oil is for the operation of all firms but again we do not expect an a priori sign for the returns of a portfolio. The sign might be positive if most of the firms in the portfolio experience profits by such an increase and negative if the opposite is true. Furthermore, oil prices may be seen as the expectation for the future inflation. The estimated sign in our model is again positive, which of course does not contradict the theoretical underpinnings of the APT model. Overall, all the estimated signs of the coefficients, which are presented in the second column of Table 1, are theoretically meaningful and this fact indicates that our model is well specified. Among the independent variables used only the constant and the excess market returns appear to be statistically significant even at the 0.01 significance level, while all the remaining variables are statistically insignificant. The significance for a coefficient can be affirmed by the corresponding t-statistic or alternatively by the associated p-value. The t-statistic is calculated by the ra tio of the estimated coefficient (column two) to the associated standard error (column three). If the absolute value of the t-statistic is greater than 2, then we may say that the coefficient is significant at the 0.05 significance level (but this is a rule of thumb). More accurate information with respect to the significance can be derived from the p-value. Hence, if the p-value is lower than the selected level of significance (e.g. 0.01), then the coefficient is considered significant at that particular level of significance. Provided that we only have the constant and one variable that are statistically significant, we continue by interpreting only the two respective coefficients. The constant can be interpreted as follows: if all the independent variables are simultaneously equal to zero then portfolios excess return is equal to 0.008. For the second coefficient we can say that if the excess market returns increase by 1 unit, then the portfolio excess return will be increased by 1.047 units, provided that all the other variables remain constant. Additionally, as it can be inferred by the value of the adjusted R-square (corrected with the degrees of freedom), which is 0.839, included into the model independent variables explain more that the 4/5 of the portfolios excess returns variability. At last, the value of the F-statistic for testing the joint significance of all the independent variables included in the model is pretty high (156.50) with the associated p-value to be in practice equal to zero. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis () that all the coefficients are jointly insignificant at 0.05 significance level and we can support that there is at least one coefficient which is significantly different from zero. The F-statistic provides further evidence for the validity of the estimated APT model. Question 3 In this section we conduct diagnostic testing in order to assess our models statistical strength. For this reason we investigate by testing analogously if there is presence of multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity, serial correlation and finally non-normality in the residuals. Before the diagnostic testing, it is important to stress that all the regressors used in equation 1 are stationary and therefore we exclude the possibility of estimating a spurious regression. It is well known that the estimated results in cases where the regression is characterized as spurious, are meaningless and the statistical inference is worthless. Clearly, this is not the case for our estimated model presented in Table 1. Turning now to the diagnostic testing procedure, our first concern is to ensure that there is no presence of multicollinearity. The problem with multicollinearity is that it inflates the standard errors and therefore it is hard to assess the significance of the regressors used i n the model. Furthermore, we know that multicollinearity does not affect the efficiency of the estimated parameters. Provided that there is no availability of an official testing procedure for the detection of multicollinearity we make use of a practical solution. According to this approach evidence for multicollinearity would be a high correlation among the regressors. High value for the correlation coefficient is considered a value of above 0.8. For this reason we estimate the correlation coefficients for all the regressors involved in the estimation of equation 1. The correlation coefficients are illustrated in Table 2. Undoubtedly, the results in Table 2 reveal that all the correlation coefficients are well below the threshold value of 0.8 and as a consequence we may say that there is no evidence of multicollinearity for that particular set of regressors. Table 2. Correlation matrix for the regressors of the APT model Regressor [ Rm-Rf ]t GTSt GFXt GBPt [ Rm -Rf ]t 1.000 GTSt 0.124 1.000 GFXt 0.066 -0.048 1.000 GBPt 0.216** -0.029 0.379*** 1.000 Note: **, *** denote significance at the 0.05 and 0.01 significance level, respectively. We continue with testing for serial correlation. We know that the presence of serial correlation in a regression model leads to the underestimation of the standard errors and the coefficients and as a consequence hypothesis testing will direct us to incorrect conclusions. A widely used Statistic for testing first order serial correlation is the Durbin-Watson. If its value is close to 2 then this is evidence of no serial correlation. In Table 1, we observe that the Durbin-Watson statistic equals to 1.92 and as result we can support the absence of a first order serial correlation. In order to ensure that higher order serial correlation is also excluded from our model we implemented the Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test for two and eight lags. The Breusch-Godfrey LM statistics for two and eight lags along with the associated p-values ar e presented in Table 1. Based on the relevant p-values we fail to reject the null hypothesis of no serial correlation in each case, and as a result we may support that serial correlation, even in higher orders, is not a problem in our model. Another important issue related to the diagnostics of a model has to do with the presence of heteroskedasticity. Heteroskedasticity leads to non-efficient estimators as well as to biased standard errors, resulting to unreliable t-statistics and confidence intervals. However, the estimators still remain unbiased under heteroskedasticity. To test formally for heteroskedasticity we implemented Whites test and the results are illustrated again in Table 1. Based on the calculated p-value (0.53) that corresponds to Whites test, we fail to reject the null hypothesis of homoskedasticity. As a result our model seems to satisfy the assumption of homoskedasticity, implying that the performed statistical inference is correct. Our final concern is to e nsure that the residuals are normally distributed, which is one of the basic assumptions of the classical linear regression model. The assumption of the errors normality is considered essential for conducting correctly statistical inference. Finally, we tested for normality by making use of the Anderson-Darling statistic with the null hypothesis to be the presence of normality. The estimated Anderson-Darling statistic along with the associated p-value, for the residuals, is 0.85 and 0.44, respectively. It is clear that we fail to reject the null hypothesis of normality and therefore we have one more clue that our model is well specified. Question 4 As is clearly shown in question 3, the diagnostic testing performed for the statistical validity of the estimated model revealed the following a) the regressors are stationary, b) multicollinearity is not considered a threat, c) there is no serial correlation in the residuals, d) the residuals are homoskedastic and finally, e) the residuals are distributed normally. Therefore, we came to the conclusion that all the basic assumptions of the classical linear regression model hold and no further actions are required. Question 5 In this part of the coursework we augment equation (1) with the squares of the factor changes. The new specification is given by equation (2): (2) Parameter estimates for equation (2) along with their associated standard errors, t-statistics and p-values, are analytically illustrated in Table 3. The E-views command for the estimation of the above mentioned model is as follows: equation model2.ls exs_r_portofolio c exs_r_index g_term_spread g_fx g_brent (g_term_spread)^2 (g_fx)^2 (g_brent)^2 Examining the results in Table 3, we can say that from the three additionally included variables only one proves to be statistically significant (the GBPt2) at the 0.1 significance level (not 0.05 or 0.01). The significance and the magnitude for the non-squared regressors do not alter in any important way with respect to the corresponding results presented in Table 1. Additionally, the adjusted R-squared improved marginally from 0.839 to 0.848, implying that the additional regressors have contributed less than 1% in explaining the variability of the dependent variable. The diagnostic testing for equation (2), which is presented at the lower part of Table 3, reveals that the new model is well specified. In more detail, we realize that all the main assumptions of the classical linear regression model are adequately satisfied. There is no serial correlation, the residuals are homoskedastic and finally the residuals are distributed normally. Table 3. Estimation output for the augmented specification (equation 2) Variable Coefficient Std. error t-Statistic p-value constant 0.011998 0.003107 3.861951 0.0002 [ Rm-Rf ]t 1.037345 0.042858 24.20433 0.0000 GTSt 0.002770 0.003517 0.787418 0.4327 GFXt 0.039821 0.083831 0.475017 0.6357 GBPt -0.004681 0.024362 -0.192148 0.8480 (GTSt)2 -0.001131 0.000921 -1.229082 0.2216 (GFXt)2 -0.831541 1.931252 -0.430571 0.6676 (GBPt)2 -0.340632 0.184292 -1.848331 0.0672 Regression Diagnostic Statistics R-squared 0.857205 Mean dependent var -0.036483 Adjusted R-squared 0.848280 S.D. dependent var 0.057761 S.E. of regression 0.022499 Akaike info Criterion -4.686387 Log likelihood 289.1832 Schwarz criterion -4.500554 F-statistic 96.04850 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.610919 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Durbin-Watson stat. 1.843856 White hetero. Test 0.840402 LM test ser. cor. (2 lags) 0.546468 Whites test p-value 0.704900 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.580600 Anderson-Darling nor. test 0.737227 LM test ser. cor. (8 lags) 0.615434 Anderson-Darling p-value 0.528500 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.763100 In order to test whether the additionally included variables provide a better specification, we perform the Wald test for coefficient restrictions. The Wald test is applied to a ll the possible combinations that may arise among the three variables. The results of the Wald testing procedure along with their associated p-values are illustrated in Table 4. Table 4. Wald testing results Null hypothesis F-Statistic (p-value) 3.24 (0.02) 0.81 (0.44) 4.65 (0.00) 4.03 (0.02) When we tested the null of it was realised that we reject the null at the 0.05 level, suggesting that the three additional variables contribute significantly in explaining the dependent variable. In the case where the following is tested: we fail to reject the null at the 0.05 level, signifying therefore that the square of the oil inflation ( coefficient) is quite crucial. Moreover, in testing the restriction the null is rejected at the 0.01 level. Finally, when the restriction is tested we reject the null at the 0.05 level. Overall, the Wald testing procedure suggests that the preferred specification would be the one that excludes the square of the exchange rate percent age change. Therefore, the new adopted specification after the Wald testing procedure receives the form presented in equation (3): (3) Equation (3) is estimated with OLS and the results are illustrated in Table 5. The E-views command for the estimation of the model is the following: equation model3.ls exs_r_portofolio c exs_r_index g_term_spread g_fx g_brent (g_term_spread)^2 (g_brent)^2 Table 5. Estimation output for the specification of equation 3 Variable Coefficient Std. error t-Statistic p-value constant 0.011796 0.003060 3.854984 0.0002 [ Rm-Rf ]t 1.035900 0.042572 24.33292 0.0000 GTSt 0.002638 0.003491 0.755653 0.4514 GFXt 0.042275 0.083335 0.507297 0.6129 GBPt -0.004001 0.024223 -0.165184 0.8691 (GTSt)2 -0.001100 0.000914 -1.202750 0.2316 (GBPt)2 -0.392334 0.139300 -2.816473 0.0057 Regression Diagnostic Statistics R-squared 0.856968 Mean dependent var -0.036483 Adjusted R-squared 0.849374 S.D. dependent var 0.057761 S.E. of regression 0.022417 Akaike info Criterion -4.701399 Log likelihood 289.0840 Schwarz criterion -4.538796 F-statistic 112.8391 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.635365 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Durbin-Watson stat. 1.831355 White hetero. Test 1.066227 LM test ser. cor. (2 lags) 0.552305 Whites test p-value 0.396100 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.577200 Anderson-Darling nor. test 0.690392 LM test ser. cor. (8 lags) 0.557522 Anderson-Darling p-value 0.566900 LM test ser. cor. p-value 0.810300 The econometric inference for equation (3), which is presented at the lower part in Table 5, reveals that again the selected model is well specified. There is no serial correlation, the residuals are homoskedastic and finally the residuals are distributed normally. The rationale for the inclusion of the i nitial variables squared lies in our intension to assess the presence of a non-linear impact that the independent variables may have on the dependent variable. The intuition in other words is that we actually generate a quadratic term. Consequently, if we have for example a positive coefficient for a variable and a negative coefficient for the square of the same variable, then it is implied that as the variable receives higher values the effect increases with a decreasing rate. Therefore, the interpretation of the coefficient for the (GTSt)2 variable is as follows: as the GTSt increases then the effect on the dependent variable decreases with the rate of 0.0011 (Table 5). The interpretation for the rest squared coefficients is quite similar. Question 6 The Chow breakpoint test is implemented for equation (3). The Chow breakpoint test is used to assess the stability of the estimated coefficients over a pre-specified breakpoint. The test depends heavily on the correct selection of the breakpoint. After the selection of the breakpoint the test is carried out by separating the initial sample into two sub-samples, with the first sample to be from the beginning of the sample up to the breakpoint and the second sample from the breakpoint up to the end. The main intuition of the test is based on the similarity of the sum of squared residuals resulting from the whole sample with the respective sum of squared residuals resulting from the equations that are fitted to each sub-sample. If there is a significant difference then this is indicative of a structural change in the coefficients derived from the whole sample regression. At this point we need to be very careful of the selection of the breakpoint. Based on the results presented abov e, and especially in question 1, we have realized that all the variables illustrated graphically show systematically a spike (extreme value) which takes place during the last quarter of 2008. The period indicated by the data coincides with the beginning of the global economic crisis. The beginning of the crisis is chronologically oriented by the collapse of the investment bank Lehman ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢rothers on September of 2008 (2008m09). Consequently, the choice of the 2008m09 as a break date for our application seems to be theoretically and empirically fully justified. The results of the Chow breakpoint test are presented in Table 6. The test is implemented for a break to all the estimated coefficients of the regression. As can be realized from the p-values of the three illustrated statistics we clearly reject in all cases the null hypothesis of no breaks at the 0.01 significance level. Table 6. Chow Breakpoint Test (equation 3) Null Hypothesis: No breaks at spe cified breakpoints Breakpoint: 2008:m9 Varying regressors: All equation variables Equation Sample: 2000:m10 2010:m09 F-statistic 3.226107 Prob. F(7,106) 0.0039 Log likelihood ratio 23.17603 Prob. Chi-Square(7) 0.0016 Wald Statistic 22.58275 Prob. Chi-Square(7) 0.0020 Clearly the confirmation of the structural change in the coefficients of the estimated regression reveals that our specification needs to be revised analogously in order to take into account the break. Such a re-specification may be the inclusion of a dummy variable for the period after the break date or otherwise cross products between the dummy and the independent variables in order to determine the magnitude of change for the initially estimated slopes. Question 7 In this section we will compare the three alternative specifications which have been presented (equations 1, 2 and 3) and estimated (Tables 1, 3 and 5) in the previous sections. For this reason we will make use of four different Statistics which are considered appropriate for the task at hand. These Statistics are the Adjusted R-square, the Akaike information criterion, The Schwartz criterion and finally the Hannan-Quinn criterion. For the adjusted R-square, this receives values between 0 and 1, the higher the value the better for the corresponding model. High values imply that high percentage of the dependents variable variability is explained by the regressors. For the three remaining Statistics, the lower the values they receive the better the model is. Table 7 below presents all these Statistics in order to select the final model. Table 7. Model selection criteria Statistic Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Adjusted R-square 0.839409 0.848280 0.849374 Akaike -4.653130 -4.686387 -4.701399 Schwartz -4.536984 -4.500554 -4.538796 Hannan-Quinn criterion -4.605962 -4.610919 -4.635365 Based on the reported results in Table 7 it is immediately realized that model 2 is preferred in comparison to model 1 (higher adjusted R-square and lower values for the rest of the statistics) and model 3 is preferred in comparison to model 2 (also there is higher adjusted R-square and lower values for the rest of the statistics). Models 3 fit to the data is considered more than satisfactory as almost 85% of the variability that the dependent variable has is explained by the selected regressors. Question 8 Based on the model presented in Table 5 we will assess the results from a financial perspective. This task is mainly focused on the interpretation and the significance of the estimated coefficients. We have already proved that model 3 is well specified and as a result we may proceed to the analysis of the results. Regarding the expected theoretical sign of the regressors it can be stressed that the estimated signs do not deviate from those expected. The justification for the sign of each variable has been analytically presented in question 2 and the same rationale applies also to the finally selected specification. The most notable fact is that the market index, FTSE 100, excess returns was found to be significant at 99% confidence level. This implies that this factor is the single-most important factor in explaining our portfolios excess returns. Alternatively, the estimated coefficient of 1.035900 can be seen as a measure of risk for the portfolio constructed since it is infer red that if the markets excess returns increase by one unit then the portfolios excess returns will increase also by the value of the coefficient. Immediately we realise that our constructed portfolio is riskier than the market. This is because our portfolio is only a subset of the market portfolio and the market portfolio is more diversified and contains less individual risk. The constant can be interpreted as follows: if all the independent variables are simultaneously equal to zero then portfolios excess return is equal to 0.011796. The fact that the constant term is statistically different from zero suggests that our choice to use the APT model is correct provided that the CAPM model is a special case of the APT model. A non-significant constant term would favour the use of the CAPM model. Finally, the three included factors in the specification remain statistically insignificant implying that these factors do not contribute considerably in the explanation of our portfolios e xcess returns. There are probably other factors that may play a significant role in explaining our portfolios excess returns. Such factors, among others, may be the industrial production, money supply, inflation and markets capitalization. Their effect remains under further investigation.

Sunday, May 17, 2020

`` Weapons Of Math Destruction `` By Cathy O Neil Essay

Becoming Numbers No one thinks that they have an impact on the world. But everyone does; everyone is a number in some algorithm. Each one of us is turned into numbers and those stats become data and are used by scientists to either do good or in some cases, bad. The book â€Å"Weapons of Math Destruction†, Cathy O’Neil talks about the dangers of turning people into numbers and how people don t even know that it is happening. A lot can go wrong when people are no longer people and they are turned into the just number. People could be placed in the wrong group because they went through a rough time for a short period, and that could ruin their lives, but computers only see numbers, not the person the number represents. Job interviews that should have happened, didn t because the computer passed over them because of a certain number, not the actual person. A person could also be called in for a job because they may have seemed perfect, but they were the opposite of what they needed. And be ing in a certain area could then mean that a person is now associated with that group even though they never were. The scientist turns people into numbers so that they are easier to cataracts and target, even if those categories are unknown to the public and is causing harm. The idea of Big Data is not new. It is only new to most people who never thought about it until an article shows up when they scroll down their Facebook newsfeed. The history of Big Data goes all the way back to 18,000 BCEShow MoreRelatedProject Mgmt296381 Words   |  1186 PagesT. Hercher, Jr. Developmental editor: Gail Korosa Associate marketing manager: Jaime Halterman Project manager: Harvey Yep Production supervisor: Carol Bielski Designer: Mary Kazak Vander Photo researcher: Jeremy Cheshareck Media project manager: Cathy Tepper Cover image:  © Veer Images Typeface: 10.5/12 Times Roman Compositor: Aptara ®, Inc. Printer: Worldcolor Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Larson, Erik W., 1952Project management: the managerial process / Erik W. Larson, Clifford

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

James Hoban - 1104 Words

James Hoban and The White House Is James Hoban the best Irish born architect ever? I will let you decide after you read his story. James Hoban was born in Callan, County Kilkenny, Ireland, in 1758 in a small house. His catholic parents worked as servants in Desart Court which was a grand mansion. Early on in his life he was disadvantaged because of the anti-Catholic Penal law.[1] The law stipulated Hoban was not allowed to go to school but he still managed to go to the Royal Dublin Society where he took architecture classes. Unfortunately, he was not able to land a job in Ireland. When the American revolutionary war ended, he decided to move to the United-States. At first he lived in Charleston, South Carolina where he built the†¦show more content†¦He gave Hoban a short deadline to complete the house. Hoban was confident that he could finish building the house before the deadline. That was before Monroe decided to move in the house even before it was completed. Making it even more difficult for Hoban to finish building it but he was finally able to complete it just a bit after the deadline. Within less than a year after the architect finished building the White House, Hoban passed away. He was buried at the St-Patrick Catholic church, which he had helped build. After what you have learned about the history of James Hoban, do you think he is the most important Irish architect ever? First, the White House is the oldest public building in Washington (Thornton). It has been renovated many times but it still has the same base upon which Hoban built it. It still has 2 rooms that have not even been touched since they were built. The White House is one of the most important buildings in the world, since it is the house of the President of the most important country in the world. Not only was James Hoban the White House architect, he encountered a lot of problems during construction. The White house is not the only building he designed. Here is a list of the other buildings he constructed or helped build: Prospect Hill Plantation, First Bank of the United States, McCleery House, The WilliamShow MoreRelatedBiography of James Madison: The Father of the Constitution Essay991 Words   |  4 Pages James Madison,widely known as the â€Å"Father of the Constitution† was born on March 16,1751 in Port Conway,Virginia. He was born into a wealthy family. His father,James Madison Sir.,gained wealth from inheritance and his mother’s, Kelly Conway, side of the family were also rich as her father made a living by being a tobacco merchant. A surprising fact that,despite coming from a such preposterous family, James was rather ill as a child. 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Cokking Competition Concert In New Zealand- MyAssignmenthelp.com

Question: Discuss about theCokking Competition Concert in New Zealand. Answer: Project The project of conducting a huge cooking concert that will be specializing in preparation of various types of foods is a very good idea. The town of New Zealand is growing and developing town in term of business industries and economic status. In addition to that, the towns population is also increasing at a high rate in terms of number and diversity. Originally, the town was inhabited by people from Pakeha and Maori cultures. However, many other communities have been there also, e.g. pacific peoples, Europeans, Asian, Latin Americans and Africans among others. All of these ethnic groups have carried on their different cultural practices which include cooking methods, types of foods, beliefs and customs to name a few. Therefore, to cater for the different food types that the communities prefer, one should carrying out a cooking concert that specializes on the specific traditional foods of the ethnic groups. The communities will be well notified prior to the concert happening through their elders, local authorities, political leaders as well as religious leaders (Zulch, 2014). In addition to that, notices will be placed in strategic places where the different communities will be able to view them. Goals and Objectives The purpose of this project is to ensure that every communitys traditions and customs are kept and respected especially the cooking methods, recipes and traditional cooking materials. However, it is one of the best ways to appreciate and recognize each and every ethnic group because some of them will certainly be employed in the restaurant to serve and prepare the foods. The ethnic groups will be able to get their traditional foods in the concert without having to struggle to prepare them on their own and publicize them or make them noticeable to other cultures. For instance, the concert should be able to accommodate traditional African foods, European foods and Asian foods and many other traditional foods preferred by specific ethnic communities living in New Zealand. According to Morris, 2014, it will be a way to improve the living standards of the people in all the cultures in the town because by showing their expertise in food preparation, they will be earning a living from possi ble employment opportunities that may arise e.g. in restaurants and hotels. Benefits and Success Criteria The benefits that will arise from offering the restaurant service is that: The communities will feel wanted and appreciated by the original community that was living there It will encourage peace and togetherness among all the communities. Different ethnic groups will be able to continue with their traditional practices and customs to whatever end they want. The people will be able to compete with other cultures and find out the best and tasty food that can be found in New Zealand. The success criteria for the benefits named above will be: I will ensure that every community in New Zealand is represented. I will ensure that every communitys traditional food is prepared as to the exact requirements. This means it should taste and appear exactly the way the community describes it. The different kinds of foods must always be available and enough to cater for the demand. The project will have a reward for the best prepared and tasty food. Also, all the communities will be very well informed about the progress of the concert. Scope Scope of the Project According to Morris, 2014, some of the parameters that will be involved in the execution of any project are: Project Scope is basically the actual project dealings. For instance, the cooking competition will be offering a chance for the communities to prepare traditional food and also an opportunity to serve it. This will be aimed at identifying the different cultural differences in New Zealand. Project time which refers to the life span of the business and the duration of the results. Project Integration refers to the collaboration and participation of the ethnic communities towards the demand and execution of the restaurant services. Project costs is the amount of money expected to be incurred for the completion of the restaurant. Project risks are the negative aspects that may arise and hinder or affect the restaurant progress. In Scope The following elements are included in the project: Project location which will be in New Zealand Town. With time, the project will be expanded to Australia and Sydney towns as well where the concerts will be held later next year. Project costs. This will relate to the costs of hiring a building or constructing one, hiring of chefs and cooks from the communities, costs in terms of time used to request for recipes and procedure from the ethnic groups especially the experts, costs of purchasing other equipment and technical support needed for the success of the project. Project scope itself which illustrates the exact concert and the location of its location. This should be in the main center of the town and on a day that most communities will be available. Risks which have Clearly been Outlined and Understood. Project life span whereby preparations till its end are estimated to be around in 6 months but the actual project should take part 3 months before the end of year 2017. Out Scope Elements The exact number of communities that should participate in the concert. This is simply because not all communities are very well known to be belonging to specific community. Apparently some community do not belong to any specific ethnic group and therefore just group themselves to be just among any community they feel like. Deliverables Key Deliverable According to Weaver, 2012, some of the key outputs from such kind of project include the fact that the communities practicing different cultures will be able to continue with their practices especially in the cooking sector. They will also be able to specialize even more from continuous practice. Additionally, the different cultures will be able to interact with other cultures and learn their ways of cooking and respecting their methods. Through this project, the communities will be able to harmonize themselves and live in peace with each other. Estimated Deliverable Date The key deliverable date should be at the end of year 2017. The results are expected to be seen by the end of the year which gives the project around 6 months to be conducted. However, the results are also expected to be seen from there onwards because the people still live together day in day out. This is a way of encouraging learning of different communities from other cultures and respecting the beliefs, customs and practices of other communities. References Zulch, B. G. (2014). Communication: The foundation of project managementt.Procedia Technology,16, 1000-1009. Talukhaba, A., Mutunga, T., Miruka, C. O. (2011). Indicators of effective communication models in remote projects.International Journal of Project Organization and Management,3(2), 127-138. Weaver, P. (2012, October). The management of project management. InThe Australian Institute of Project Management National Conference. Izmailov, A., Korneva, D., Kozhemiakin, A. (2016). Project Management Using the Buffers of Time and Resources.Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,235, 189-197. Morris, P., Pinto, J. K. (2010).The Wiley guide to project control(Vol. 9). John Wiley Sons. Olegovna, K. D., Elyasovich, I. A., Artem, K. (2016). Project management using the buffers of time and resources. Dmitrievich, K. A., Olegovna, K. D., Elyasovich, I. A. (2016). Effective Project Management with Theory of Constraints. Morris, P. W. (2010). Research and the future of project management.International Journal of Managing Projects in Business,3(1), 139-146.